Strength
Strength
|
62 19 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
612 61 Strength Momentum |
752 36.2(65) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.001 | 669 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 451 | 40% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.003 | 576 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 656 | 51% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Portales | 0.004 | 760 | L 2- 6 | Expected (-2) | 496 | 31% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Santa Fe Indian !! | 0.009 | 762 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 799 | 31% | |
| 09/16/15 | Taos | 0.007 | 816 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 450 | 30% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hatch | 0.020 | 665 | L 4- 6 | Expected (-2) | 527 | 47% | |
| 09/21/15 | ATC ?? | 0.026 | 442 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 415 | 71% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Capital | 0.032 | 1074 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 653 | 9% | |
| 09/25/15 | St. Michael's | 0.010 | 1262 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 515 | 4% | |
| 09/28/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.080 | 752 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 670 | 36% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Hatch ? | 0.089 | 665 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 449 | 41% | |
| 10/05/15 | Santa Fe Prep ! | 0.180 | 722 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 705 | 39% | |
| 10/07/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.028 | 1262 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 429 | 3% | |
| 10/12/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.344 | 722 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 628 | 34% | |
| 10/15/15 | at ATC | 0.409 | 442 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 588 | 66% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.633 | 752 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 644 | 31% | |
| 10/23/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.597 | 762 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 575 | 35% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Desert Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 752, while
Desert Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 608
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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